Why The Battle For Donbas Could Decide The War In Ukraine

The article describes the escalating situation in the Donbas region of Ukraine, where Russia is shifting its military focus following setbacks in other parts of the country. Putin needs a victory and may be planning a significant military assault in the area. Despite the danger, trains continue to evacuate refugees from the region. The Ukrainian forces, seasoned by years of conflict with pro-Russian separatists since 2014, are well-equipped with elite troops and modern weapons supplied by allies. The defense of Mariupol is crucial for Ukraine, with unconfirmed reports of a possible chemical attack indicating the severity of the conflict. The article suggests that Putin’s motivation for taking Donbas is strategic and ideological, rather than economic, as the area has been heavily subsidized and economically degraded. The Russian government needs to showcase a victory to maintain its narrative and the support of its people. General Alexander Dvornikov has been appointed to lead the Russian offensive, with expectations of intense aerial assaults and artillery use. Civilians continue to flee, while the Ukrainian military prepares for what may be a pivotal battle in the war.